The correct result of every Premier League gameweek 28 fixture revealed, according to statistics

The correct result of every Premier League gameweek 28 fixture revealed, according to statistics
Fans were treated to a bumper set of midweek games with all 20 Premier League teams in action in the Premier League.Manchester City kept the pressure on table-toppers Liverpool by edging past West Ham – Jurgen Klopp’s men getting the job done in more emphatic style against Watford.4

Virgil van Dijk scored a brace as Liverpool dismantled Watford at Anfield, winning 5-0

Meanwhile, Chelsea beat London rivals Tottenham at Stamford Bridge as goalkeeper Kepa Arrizabalaga was dropped following his antics at the weekend.

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Premier League round-up: Tuesday’s matches

Premier League round-up: Wednesday’s matches

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At the other end of the table, Newcastle gave themselves breathing space from the relegation zone while Southampton beat rivals for the drop Fulham. It was, as always, a thrilling weekend of top flight action, but were the results backed up by the performances?Expected goals (xG) is a statistic used to work out how many goals should be scored in a match, with every shot taken given an xG valuebased on the difficulty of the attempt.Based on a number of factors including distance from goal, type of shot and number of defenders, the xG value reveals the likelihood a specific shot will end in a goal; the higher the value, the more likely a goal should be scored from that shot.4

Sergio Aguero has the highest xG (16.77) of any player this Premier League season

The xG valueof every shot in a game is used to calculate the expected goals of a match.Click here to find out more about the calculations used to work outxG.Should a team end with a higher xG than actual goals scored, it is probable they were wasteful in front of goal due to poor finishing or an in-form opposition goalkeeper. If the real goals scored is higher than the xG, the team may have been lucky to score so many in that match, or have an above average finisher scoring hard chances others would miss.So, how did every team perform compared to their xG in the 11th round ofPremier Leaguematches? Find out below thanks to expected goals statistics from Understat.com…

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Huddersfield vs Wolves

Real result: 1-0xG result: 1.43-0.57

Cardiff vs Everton

Real result: 0-3xG result: 0.22-1.14

Leicester vs Brighton

Real result: 2-1xG result: 1.68-1.214

New Leicester boss Brendan Rodgers watched his side edge past Brighton

Newcastle vs Burnley

Real result: 2-0xG result: 0.77-1.71

Arsenal vs Bournemouth

Real result: 5-1xG result: 2.20-0.90

What is expected goals?

• Expected goals (xG) is a statistic used to work out how many goals should be scored in a match.
• Every single shot is awarded an xG value based on the difficulty of the attempt, with factors including distance from goal, type of shot and number of defenders present affecting the value.
• The higher the xG of a particular shot, the more likely a goal should be scored from that shot.
• The xG valueof every shot in a game is then used to calculate the expected goals in a particular match.

Southampton vs Fulham

Real result: 2-0xG result: 1.13-1.00

Chelsea vs Tottenham

Real result: 2-0xG result: 0.42-0.634

Kieran Trippier scored an embarrassing own goal at Stamford Bridge

Crystal Palace vs Manchester United

Real result: 1-3xG result: 1.67-1.51

Liverpool vs Watford

Real result: 5-0xG result: 2.74-0.63

Manchester City vs West Ham

Real result: 1-0xG result: 3.47-0.40

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According to u/AnalyseDotFootball's data, Chelsea have the toughest remaining 18 Premier League fixtures, meanwhile, Arsenal have the most favourable. In the race for the title, both current
Predicting Football Results With Statistical Modelling

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Manchester United and Man City go head-to-head on Sunday in a huge derby clash in the Premier League. It's a fixture which is notoriously unpredictable with the Red Devils beating their rivals at the end of last season to postpone the title celebrations of Pep Guardiola's men.

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The correct result of every Premier League gameweek 28

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The correct result of every Premier League gameweek 28 fixture revealed, according to statistics Written by: fpnews Posted on: February 28, 2019 Fans were treated to a bumper set of midweek games with all 20 Premier League teams in action in the Premier League.
The correct result of every Premier League gameweek 28
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The correct result of every Premier League gameweek 28 fixture revealed, according to statistics. Find out below thanks to expected goals statistics from
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xg explains With the help of expected goals, we take a look at how the weekend's matches should have finished It's always best to expect the unexpected in the Premier League. Liverpool were ahead in the title race before their clash with struggling rivals Everton but instead of defeating them in the Merseyside derby they […]
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The correct result of every Premier League gameweek 28 fixture revealed, according to statistics With the help of expected goals, we take a look at how the weekend's matches should have finished
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Predicting Football Results With Statistical Modelling Combining the world's most popular sport with everyone's favourite discrete probability distribution, this post predicts football matches using the Poisson distribution.
The most likely result in every Premier League match in